Another tool in the box: Epidemiological forecasting of floods

Keywords: Floods, Epidemiology, Forecasting


Floods have been recorded as the most frequent type of natural disaster, constituting 47% of all occurrences and impacting about 2.3 billion individuals globally. In 2019, floods accounted for 43.5% of all deaths due to natural disasters. Floods can have long-lasting detrimental effects on human socio-economic conditions, including public health issues, crop and livestock losses, creating large-scale unemployment, disrupting livelihood activities and wreaking havoc on natural ecosystems. In addition, floods caused extensive damage to infrastructure, and put extra strain on meagre public resources of the developing regions they frequently occur in. The full scope of the destruction caused by floods is often only realised once the waters have receded and the true extent of the devastation is revealed. By using a multi- stakeholder approach, epidemiological forecasts can aid in creating awareness on disaster risk for crop and livestock farmers and public health and strategising on mitigation measures to reduce floods